Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 1.080680e-03 0.001220 0.001361 0.001513 0.001673 0.001836 0.002013
2025-03-09 8.192222e-04 0.001019 0.001230 0.001467 0.001723 0.001990 0.002288
2025-03-16 6.371477e-04 0.000880 0.001147 0.001455 0.001799 0.002164 0.002580
2025-03-23 5.207975e-04 0.000798 0.001115 0.001492 0.001921 0.002385 0.002920
2025-03-30 4.139783e-04 0.000713 0.001069 0.001506 0.002011 0.002568 0.003216
2025-04-06 3.227847e-04 0.000634 0.001021 0.001510 0.002087 0.002729 0.003486
2025-04-13 2.481412e-04 0.000565 0.000978 0.001514 0.002157 0.002882 0.003743
2025-04-20 1.800475e-04 0.000492 0.000924 0.001498 0.002199 0.003000 0.003958
2025-04-27 1.257133e-04 0.000429 0.000874 0.001483 0.002239 0.003111 0.004164
2025-05-04 1.019215e-04 0.000410 0.000882 0.001538 0.002362 0.003319 0.004478
2025-05-11 7.896321e-05 0.000388 0.000881 0.001581 0.002468 0.003505 0.004766
2025-05-18 3.415548e-05 0.000302 0.000781 0.001489 0.002405 0.003488 0.004818
2025-05-25 9.304220e-06 0.000238 0.000709 0.001435 0.002393 0.003539 0.004956
2025-06-01 5.216576e-07 0.000196 0.000667 0.001418 0.002427 0.003645 0.005160
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000167 0.000642 0.001424 0.002489 0.003784 0.005403
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000154 0.000646 0.001471 0.002604 0.003988 0.005723
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000135 0.000632 0.001491 0.002683 0.004147 0.005989
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000113 0.000612 0.001500 0.002746 0.004286 0.006231
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000094 0.000591 0.001506 0.002805 0.004419 0.006465
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000072 0.000559 0.001492 0.002835 0.004516 0.006655
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000053 0.000528 0.001477 0.002863 0.004610 0.006841
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000050 0.000541 0.001534 0.002987 0.004822 0.007169
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000046 0.000547 0.001577 0.003093 0.005012 0.007469